CardGameInsight
PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Pikachu ex

30th Celebration · #150 · 2026

The third most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 25 Sept 2026 ($103 raw). No population read yet.

Blended market value

$57.96-23.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

2026-09-252026-10-28

Latest

$57.96

Average per source

  • 145 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $57.96

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    24 listings · Any condition · 3d ago

    $90.43

    SEK 899.33

    median SEK 829.00

    SEK 500.00–SEK 1,450

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    4 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 21d ago

    $162.69

    median $162.84

    $100.00–$225.08

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,145 · PSA 10 price $812 · float $929,992outside the fit

    1,145 PSA 10s exist (a placeholder count, not a read) and the last PSA 10 comp was $812; a modelled input keeps it outside the fit, so it is listed below the 34 fitted Mega Evolution cards without a distance from the curve.

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29within 30% of its window high

    Not on the drawdown screen: the card is within 30% of its window high. The exact distance appears once the nightly report is regenerated.

  • Chase concentration30th Celebration: top-3 share 95% · HHI 0.30outside the set's top 3

    Outside 30th Celebration's top 3, which together hold 95% of a $12,598 set value over 161 cards (HHI 0.30, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 829 kr ≈ $83.36 · 24 asks · 2026-10-26+44% vs US market $57.96-49% vs eBay sold median $163 (4 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    24 Swedish asks with a median of 829 kr ≈ $83.36 on 2026-10-26, 44% above the US near-mint market of $57.96 (2026-10-28), and 49% below the eBay sold median of $163 (4 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
30th Celebration
Era
Mega Evolution
Number
150/128
Rarity
Special Illustration Rare
Artist
kantaro
Released
Sep 16, 2026

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