PokémonTrainer Gallery Rare Holo

Pikachu

Lost Origin Trainer Gallery · #TG05 · 2022

Blended market value

$40.82+4.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 3d ago

Price history

Latest

$40.82

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
293 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 3d ago
$40.82
Traderaliveasksnot blended
5 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$61.27
SEK 610.00
median SEK 600.00
SEK 549.00–SEK 699.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
99 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$64.33
median $56.00
$21.50–$150.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 3,938 · PSA 10 price $535 · float $2,106,633+159% vs Sword & Shield curve#76 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
3,938 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $535; that is 159% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 76 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-40% from $67.78 (2026-06-27)supply +1% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $40.82 on 2026-10-26 against a window high of $67.78 on 2026-06-27: 40% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 3,909 → 3,938 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationLost Origin Trainer Gallery: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Lost Origin Trainer Gallery's top 3, which together hold 47% of a $531 set value over 30 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 600 kr ≈ $60.27 · 5 asks · 2026-10-27+48% vs US market $40.82+8% vs eBay sold median $56.00 (99 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
5 Swedish asks with a median of 600 kr ≈ $60.27 on 2026-10-27, 48% above the US near-mint market of $40.82 (2026-10-26), and 8% above the eBay sold median of $56.00 (99 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.