PokémonTrainer Gallery Rare Holo

Charizard

Lost Origin Trainer Gallery · #TG03 · 2022

Blended market value

$29.07-2.0% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 3d ago

Price history

Latest

$29.07

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
255 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 3d ago
$29.07
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$45.19
SEK 449.00
median SEK 449.00
SEK 449.00–SEK 449.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
116 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$56.98
median $38.29
$7.50–$210.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 5,074 · PSA 10 price $285 · float $1,444,314+23% vs Sword & Shield curve#56 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
5,074 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $285; that is 23% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 56 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-27% from $39.58 (2026-05-15)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $29.07 on 2026-10-26 against a window high of $39.58 on 2026-05-15: 27% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 5,059 → 5,074 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationLost Origin Trainer Gallery: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Lost Origin Trainer Gallery's top 3, which together hold 47% of a $531 set value over 30 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 449 kr ≈ $45.19 · 1 ask · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+55% vs US market $29.07+18% vs eBay sold median $38.28 (116 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 449 kr ≈ $45.19 on 2026-10-28, 55% above the US near-mint market of $29.07 (2026-10-26), and 18% above the eBay sold median of $38.28 (116 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.