PokémonRare Ultra

Charizard V

Brilliant Stars · #153 · 2022

Blended market value

$30.78-8.9% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$30.78

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
131 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$30.78
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$39.64
SEK 394.67
median SEK 400.00
SEK 285.00–SEK 499.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
30 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$96.79
median $74.98
$15.00–$235.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 4,357 · PSA 10 price $152 · float $663,266-30% vs Sword & Shield curve#29 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
4,357 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $152; that is 30% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 29 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-27% from $42.44 (2026-05-17)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $30.78 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $42.44 on 2026-05-17: 27% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 4,317 → 4,357 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationBrilliant Stars: top-3 share 52% · HHI 0.15outside the set's top 3
Outside Brilliant Stars's top 3, which together hold 52% of a $740 set value over 186 cards (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 400 kr ≈ $40.18 · 3 asks · 2026-10-27+31% vs US market $30.78-46% vs eBay sold median $74.97 (30 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 400 kr ≈ $40.18 on 2026-10-27, 31% above the US near-mint market of $30.78 (2026-10-27), and 46% below the eBay sold median of $74.97 (30 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.