PokémonRare Rainbow

Rayquaza VMAX

Evolving Skies · #217 · 2021

Blended market value

$108.15+2.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago

Price history

Latest

$108.15

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
67 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$108.15
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$98.88
SEK 983.33
median SEK 982.00
SEK 968.00–SEK 1,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
36 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$129.94
median $121.87
$42.00–$250.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 4,697 · PSA 10 price $247 · float $1,159,877+10% vs Sword & Shield curve#53 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
4,697 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $247; that is 10% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 53 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-16% from $128 (2026-07-17)supply +2% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $108 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $128 on 2026-07-17: 16% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 4,624 → 4,697 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Evolving Skies's top 3, which together hold 50% of a $7,860 set value over 237 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 982 kr ≈ $98.75 · 3 asks · 2026-10-24-9% vs US market $108-19% vs eBay sold median $122 (36 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 982 kr ≈ $98.75 on 2026-10-24, 9% below the US near-mint market of $108 (2026-10-23), and 19% below the eBay sold median of $122 (36 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.