Umbreon VMAX
Evolving Skies · #214 · 2021
Blended market value
1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago
Price history
Latest
$83.59
Average per source
45 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$83.59
24 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$116.24
median $85.00
$30.00–$267.57
1 listings · Any condition · 25d ago
$64.63
SEK 650.00
median SEK 650.00
SEK 650.00–SEK 650.00
3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.
Signals
how these are computed →- Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 4,286 · PSA 10 price $173 · float $740,792-19% vs Sword & Shield curve#35 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
4,286 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $173; that is 19% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 35 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
- Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-2% from $85.05 (2026-09-01)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $83.59 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $85.05 on 2026-09-01: 2% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 4,243 → 4,286 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
- Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Evolving Skies's top 3, which together hold 50% of a $7,860 set value over 237 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
- Region spreadTradera median 650 kr ≈ $64.63 · 1 ask · 2026-10-04 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold-23% vs US market $83.59-24% vs eBay sold median $85.00 (24 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 650 kr ≈ $64.63 on 2026-10-04, 23% below the US near-mint market of $83.59 (2026-10-23), and 24% below the eBay sold median of $85.00 (24 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.
Terms used above
- PSA 10 pop
- The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
- thin comp
- An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
- slope
- b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
- float
- PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
- HHI
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
- spread
- Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
- asks, not sales
- Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.
Card details
- Set
- Evolving Skies
- Era
- Sword & Shield
- Number
- 214/203
- Rarity
- Rare Rainbow
- Artist
- AKIRA EGAWA
- Released
- Aug 27, 2021