PokémonRare Rainbow

Gyarados VMAX

Evolving Skies · #207 · 2021

Blended market value

$46.49-1.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago

Price history

Latest

$46.49

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
82 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$46.49
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 18d ago
$8.03
SEK 80.00
median SEK 80.00
SEK 80.00–SEK 80.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
15 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$107.36
median $125.00
$24.99–$175.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,779 · PSA 10 price $139 · float $386,698-21% vs Sword & Shield curve#33 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
2,779 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $139; that is 21% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 33 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-10% from $51.57 (2026-08-03)supply +2% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $46.49 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $51.57 on 2026-08-03: 10% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 2,732 → 2,779 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Evolving Skies's top 3, which together hold 50% of a $7,860 set value over 237 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 80 kr ≈ $8.03 · 1 ask · 2026-10-11 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold-83% vs US market $46.49-94% vs eBay sold median $125 (15 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 80 kr ≈ $8.03 on 2026-10-11, 83% below the US near-mint market of $46.49 (2026-10-23), and 94% below the eBay sold median of $125 (15 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.