PokémonRare Ultra

Rayquaza V

Evolving Skies · #193 · 2021

Blended market value

$66.07-5.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago

Price history

Latest

$66.07

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
74 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$66.07
eBay soldlivenot blended
20 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$186.86
median $130.50
$23.00–$575.00
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 1mo ago
$63.38
SEK 627.50
median SEK 630.00
SEK 625.00–SEK 630.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,259 · PSA 10 price $239 · float $539,811+50% vs Sword & Shield curve#62 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
2,259 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $239; that is 50% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 62 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-27% from $90.92 (2026-08-03)supply +2% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $66.07 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $90.92 on 2026-08-03: 27% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 2,205 → 2,259 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Evolving Skies's top 3, which together hold 50% of a $7,860 set value over 237 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 630 kr ≈ $63.63 · 2 asks · 2026-09-26 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold-4% vs US market $66.07-51% vs eBay sold median $131 (20 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 630 kr ≈ $63.63 on 2026-09-26, 4% below the US near-mint market of $66.07 (2026-10-23), and 51% below the eBay sold median of $131 (20 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.