PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Roaring Moon ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #162 · 2025

Blended market value

$154.89-6.6% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$155.18

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
113 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$154.89
eBay soldlivenot blended
40 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 22d ago
$201.05
median $170.00
$78.50–$485.26
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 2mo ago
$185.68
SEK 1,800
median SEK 1,800
SEK 1,800–SEK 1,800

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,668 · PSA 10 price $723 · float $1,929,658+157% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#71 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
2,668 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $723; that is 157% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 71 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-15% from $183 (2026-06-01)supply +3% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $155 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $183 on 2026-06-01: 15% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 2,593 → 2,668 (+3%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationPrismatic Evolutions: top-3 share 46% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Prismatic Evolutions's top 3, which together hold 46% of a $4,121 set value over 180 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,800 kr ≈ $186 · 1 ask · 2026-09-13 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+20% vs US market $155+9% vs eBay sold median $170 (40 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 1,800 kr ≈ $186 on 2026-09-13, 20% above the US near-mint market of $155 (2026-10-27), and 9% above the eBay sold median of $170 (40 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.