PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Vaporeon ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #149 · 2025

Blended market value

$229.59-18.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$230.71

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
110 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$229.59
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 18d ago
$302.54
SEK 3,015
median SEK 3,015
SEK 3,015–SEK 3,015
eBay soldlivenot blended
58 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 22d ago
$227.64
median $222.50
$65.00–$350.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,929 · PSA 10 price $984 · float $2,880,789+240% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#74 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
2,929 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $984; that is 240% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 74 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-26% from $311 (2026-07-15)supply +3% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $230 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $311 on 2026-07-15: 26% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 2,832 → 2,929 (+3%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationPrismatic Evolutions: top-3 share 46% · HHI 0.12outside the set's top 3
Outside Prismatic Evolutions's top 3, which together hold 46% of a $4,121 set value over 180 cards (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 3,015 kr ≈ $303 · 1 ask · 2026-10-11 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+32% vs US market $230+36% vs eBay sold median $223 (58 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 3,015 kr ≈ $303 on 2026-10-11, 32% above the US near-mint market of $230 (2026-10-27), and 36% above the eBay sold median of $223 (58 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.