PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Zapdos ex

Scarlet & Violet — 151 · #202 · 2023

Blended market value

$83.02+1.4% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 7d ago

Price history

Latest

$83.02

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
246 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 7d ago
$83.02
Traderaliveasksnot blended
9 listings · Any condition · 4d ago
$147.05
SEK 1,462
median SEK 1,319
SEK 1,212–SEK 1,866
eBay soldlivenot blended
122 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$108.80
median $100.00
$53.00–$250.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 14,253 · PSA 10 price $437 · float $6,227,278-5% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#41 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
14,253 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $437; that is 5% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 41 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-34% from $126 (2026-03-21)supply +1% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $83.02 on 2026-10-22 against a window high of $126 on 2026-03-21: 34% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 14,113 → 14,253 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationScarlet & Violet — 151: top-3 share 31% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Scarlet & Violet — 151's top 3, which together hold 31% of a $1,609 set value over 207 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,319 kr ≈ $133 · 9 asks · 2026-10-25+60% vs US market $83.02+33% vs eBay sold median $100 (122 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
9 Swedish asks with a median of 1,319 kr ≈ $133 on 2026-10-25, 60% above the US near-mint market of $83.02 (2026-10-22), and 33% above the eBay sold median of $100 (122 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.