PokémonIllustration Rare

Squirtle

Scarlet & Violet — 151 · #170 · 2023

Blended market value

$87.63+3.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 7d ago

Price history

Latest

$87.63

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
238 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 7d ago
$87.63
Traderaliveasksnot blended
5 listings · Any condition · 4d ago
$61.76
SEK 614.20
median SEK 420.00
SEK 299.00–SEK 999.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
83 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$102.68
median $104.00
$29.50–$210.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,200 · PSA 10 price $406 · float $3,736,304+0% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#45 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
9,200 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $406; that is level with what this era's population curve predicts, rank 45 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-28% from $122 (2026-06-10)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $87.63 on 2026-10-22 against a window high of $122 on 2026-06-10: 28% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9,157 → 9,200 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationScarlet & Violet — 151: top-3 share 31% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Scarlet & Violet — 151's top 3, which together hold 31% of a $1,609 set value over 207 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 420 kr ≈ $42.23 · 5 asks · 2026-10-25-52% vs US market $87.63-59% vs eBay sold median $104 (83 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
5 Swedish asks with a median of 420 kr ≈ $42.23 on 2026-10-25, 52% below the US near-mint market of $87.63 (2026-10-22), and 59% below the eBay sold median of $104 (83 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.