PokémonRare Ultra

Cynthia

Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · #SV82 · 2019

Blended market value

$180.36-0.4% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 8d ago

Price history

Latest

$180.36

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
45 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 8d ago
$180.36
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$145.64
SEK 1,450
median SEK 1,450
SEK 1,450–SEK 1,450
eBay soldlivenot blended
7 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 17d ago
$191.43
median $160.00
$110.00–$320.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 4,649 · PSA 10 price $272 · float $1,265,830+38% vs Sun & Moon curve#18 of 22 in era · slope +0.21
4,649 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $272; that is 38% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 18 of 22, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.21, R² 0.03, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-9% from $197 (2026-06-17)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $180 on 2026-10-21 against a window high of $197 on 2026-06-17: 9% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 4,628 → 4,649 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationHidden Fates: Shiny Vault: top-3 share 38% · HHI 0.08outside the set's top 3
Outside Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault's top 3, which together hold 38% of a $3,444 set value over 94 cards (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,450 kr ≈ $146 · 1 ask · 2026-10-27 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold-19% vs US market $180-9% vs eBay sold median $160 (7 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 1,450 kr ≈ $146 on 2026-10-27, 19% below the US near-mint market of $180 (2026-10-21), and 9% below the eBay sold median of $160 (7 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.