CardGameInsight
PokémonRare Shining

Shining Raichu

Neo Destiny · #111 · 2002

Blended market value

$548.700.0% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

2026-05-132026-10-19

Latest

$548.70

Average per source

  • 16 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago

    $548.70

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    5 listings · Any condition · 6d ago

    $433.22

    SEK 4,308

    median SEK 3,100

    SEK 2,399–SEK 7,552

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    15 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago

    $770.41

    median $725.00

    $310.57–$1,325

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 292 · PSA 10 price $5,573 · float $1,627,272-20% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#12 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    292 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $5,573; that is 20% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 12 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $549 (2026-10-06)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $549 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $549 on 2026-10-06: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 292 → 292 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationNeo Destiny: top-3 share 30% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3

    Outside Neo Destiny's top 3, which together hold 30% of a $9,929 set value over 113 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 3,100 kr ≈ $312 · 5 asks · 2026-10-23 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-43% vs US market $549-57% vs eBay sold median $725 (15 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    5 Swedish asks with a median of 3,100 kr ≈ $312 on 2026-10-23, 43% below the US near-mint market of $549 (2026-10-19), and 57% below the eBay sold median of $725 (15 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Neo Destiny
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
111/105
Rarity
Rare Shining
Artist
Hironobu Yoshida
Released
Feb 28, 2002
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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