Light Dragonite
Neo Destiny · #14 · 2002
Blended market value
1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago
Price history
Latest
$399.99
Average per source
29 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$399.99
2 listings · Any condition · 6d ago
$206.09
SEK 2,050
median SEK 2,999
SEK 1,100–SEK 2,999
16 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$383.19
median $294.99
$113.50–$1,050
3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.
Signals
how these are computed →- Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 91 · PSA 10 price $10,896 (thin comp) · float $991,539+30% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#19 of 33 in era · slope -0.16
91 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $10,896 (thin: under three sales); that is 30% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 19 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
- Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-4% from $417 (2026-08-07)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $400 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $417 on 2026-08-07: 4% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 91 → 91 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
- Chase concentrationNeo Destiny: top-3 share 30% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Neo Destiny's top 3, which together hold 30% of a $9,929 set value over 113 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
- Region spreadTradera median 2,999 kr ≈ $302 · 2 asks · 2026-10-23 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-25% vs US market $400+2% vs eBay sold median $295 (16 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 2,999 kr ≈ $302 on 2026-10-23, 25% below the US near-mint market of $400 (2026-10-19), and 2% above the eBay sold median of $295 (16 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.
Terms used above
- PSA 10 pop
- The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
- thin comp
- An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
- slope
- b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
- float
- PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
- HHI
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
- spread
- Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
- asks, not sales
- Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.
Card details
- Set
- Neo Destiny
- Era
- Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
- Number
- 14/105
- Rarity
- Rare Holo
- Artist
- Atsuko Nishida
- Released
- Feb 28, 2002
- Printings
- Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately