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PokémonRare Secret

Shining Celebi

Neo Destiny · #106 · 2002

Blended market value

$549.990.0% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-19

Latest

$549.99

Average per source

  • 15 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago

    $549.99

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    16 listings · Any condition · 6d ago

    $47.66

    SEK 474.00

    median SEK 436.00

    SEK 243.00–SEK 980.00

  • eBay soldliveestimatenot blended

    26 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago

    $473.41

    median $400.00

    $280.00–$900.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 290 · PSA 10 price $5,936 · float $1,721,457-15% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#15 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    290 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $5,936; that is 15% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 15 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $550 (2026-10-06)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $550 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $550 on 2026-10-06: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 290 → 290 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationNeo Destiny: top-3 share 30% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3

    Outside Neo Destiny's top 3, which together hold 30% of a $9,929 set value over 113 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 436 kr ≈ $43.84 · 16 asks · 2026-10-23 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-92% vs US market $550-89% vs eBay sold median $400 (26 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    16 Swedish asks with a median of 436 kr ≈ $43.84 on 2026-10-23, 92% below the US near-mint market of $550 (2026-10-19), and 89% below the eBay sold median of $400 (26 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Neo Destiny
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
106/105
Rarity
Rare Secret
Artist
Hironobu Yoshida
Released
Feb 28, 2002
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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