Venusaur
Base Set · #15 · 1999
Completes the Base Set starter trio of holos. TCGplayer market $181.61 raw on 14 Sept 2026, the set's third highest; Unlimited PSA 10 population 588 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.
Blended market value
1 observed, 1 thin · read 5h ago
Price history
Latest
$146.26
Average per source
220 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5h ago
$146.26
10 listings · Any condition · 6h ago
$126.75
SEK 1,259
median SEK 975.00
SEK 366.00–SEK 2,700
88 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 17d ago
$148.34
median $140.00
$16.00–$350.00
3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.
Signals
how these are computed →- Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 587 · PSA 10 price $1,089 · float $639,437-82% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#2 of 33 in era · slope -0.16
587 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,089; that is 82% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 2 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
- Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-23% from $189 (2026-08-23)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $146 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $189 on 2026-08-23: 23% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 588 → 587 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
- Chase concentrationBase Set: top-3 share 58% · HHI 0.18outside the set's top 3
Outside Base Set's top 3, which together hold 58% of a $2,410 set value over 102 cards (HHI 0.18, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
- Region spreadTradera median 975 kr ≈ $98.18 · 10 asks · 2026-10-29 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded · original set only-33% vs US market $146-30% vs eBay sold median $140 (88 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
10 Swedish asks with a median of 975 kr ≈ $98.18 on 2026-10-29, 33% below the US near-mint market of $146 (2026-10-29), and 30% below the eBay sold median of $140 (88 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print; titles naming the Celebrations: Classic Collection reprint excluded.
Terms used above
- PSA 10 pop
- The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
- thin comp
- An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
- slope
- b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
- float
- PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
- HHI
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
- spread
- Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
- asks, not sales
- Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.
Card details
- Set
- Base Set
- Era
- Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
- Number
- 15/102
- Rarity
- Rare Holo
- Artist
- Mitsuhiro Arita
- Released
- Jan 9, 1999
- Printings
- Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately. Reprinted with the same number in Celebrations: Classic Collection (2021)