PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Iono's Bellibolt ex

Journey Together · #183 · 2025

Blended market value

$28.16-14.6% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$28.16

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
325 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$28.16
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 7d ago
$42.83
SEK 424.75
median SEK 450.00
SEK 339.00–SEK 515.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
37 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$60.44
median $38.50
$29.56–$145.99

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,972 · PSA 10 price $131 · float $389,213-55% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#12 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
2,972 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $131; that is 55% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 12 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-39% from $46.27 (2026-06-17)supply +3% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $28.16 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $46.27 on 2026-06-17: 39% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 2,885 → 2,972 (+3%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationJourney Together: top-3 share 42% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Journey Together's top 3, which together hold 42% of a $370 set value over 190 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 450 kr ≈ $45.38 · 4 asks · 2026-10-22+61% vs US market $28.16+18% vs eBay sold median $38.50 (37 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 450 kr ≈ $45.38 on 2026-10-22, 61% above the US near-mint market of $28.16 (2026-10-27), and 18% above the eBay sold median of $38.50 (37 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.