PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Volcanion ex

Journey Together · #182 · 2025

Blended market value

$13.83-21.3% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$13.83

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
271 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$13.83
Traderaliveasksnot blended
9 listings · Any condition · 7d ago
$25.05
SEK 248.44
median SEK 249.00
SEK 200.00–SEK 315.00
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
20 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$41.87
median $25.00
$13.50–$112.50

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,480 · PSA 10 price $97.44 · float $144,211-59% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#9 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
1,480 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $97.44; that is 59% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 9 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-39% from $22.61 (2026-05-05)supply +3% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $13.83 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $22.61 on 2026-05-05: 39% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 1,437 → 1,480 (+3%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationJourney Together: top-3 share 42% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Journey Together's top 3, which together hold 42% of a $370 set value over 190 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 249 kr ≈ $25.11 · 9 asks · 2026-10-22+82% vs US market $13.83+0% vs eBay sold median $25.00 (20 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
9 Swedish asks with a median of 249 kr ≈ $25.11 on 2026-10-22, 82% above the US near-mint market of $13.83 (2026-10-27), and level with the eBay sold median of $25.00 (20 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.