PokémonIllustration Rare

Articuno

Journey Together · #161 · 2025

Blended market value

$13.16-20.4% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$13.16

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
551 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$13.16
Traderaliveasksnot blended
8 listings · Any condition · 7d ago
$36.63
SEK 361.88
median SEK 398.00
SEK 249.00–SEK 450.00
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
142 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$37.11
median $35.00
$9.00–$96.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 8,171 · PSA 10 price $237 · float $1,936,037-40% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#22 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
8,171 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $237; that is 40% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 22 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-56% from $29.96 (2026-05-23)supply +1% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $13.16 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $29.96 on 2026-05-23: 56% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 8,089 → 8,171 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationJourney Together: top-3 share 42% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Journey Together's top 3, which together hold 42% of a $370 set value over 190 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 398 kr ≈ $40.29 · 8 asks · 2026-10-22+206% vs US market $13.16+15% vs eBay sold median $34.99 (142 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
8 Swedish asks with a median of 398 kr ≈ $40.29 on 2026-10-22, 206% above the US near-mint market of $13.16 (2026-10-27), and 15% above the eBay sold median of $34.99 (142 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.