PokémonIllustration Rare

Vibrava

Surging Sparks · #206 · 2024

Blended market value

$2.98-12.6% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 5d ago

Price history

Latest

$2.98

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
421 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5d ago
$2.98
Traderaliveasksnot blended
6 listings · Any condition · 9d ago
$5.92
SEK 58.67
median SEK 69.00
SEK 39.00–SEK 79.00
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
6 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 25d ago
$11.08
median $11.72
$3.01–$20.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

No population read for this card yet, so it is outside the pop-adjusted and drawdown screens.
Chase concentrationSurging Sparks: top-3 share 48% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Surging Sparks's top 3, which together hold 48% of a $1,095 set value over 252 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 69 kr ≈ $6.96 · 6 asks · 2026-10-20+134% vs US market $2.98-41% vs eBay sold median $11.72 (6 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
6 Swedish asks with a median of 69 kr ≈ $6.96 on 2026-10-20, 134% above the US near-mint market of $2.98 (2026-10-24), and 41% below the eBay sold median of $11.72 (6 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.