PokémonIllustration Rare

Vivillon

Surging Sparks · #193 · 2024

Blended market value

$4.97+7.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 5d ago

Price history

Latest

$4.97

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
378 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5d ago
$4.97
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 9d ago
$6.28
SEK 62.25
median SEK 77.00
SEK 30.00–SEK 89.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
12 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 25d ago
$21.12
median $20.50
$3.05–$37.46

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

No population read for this card yet, so it is outside the pop-adjusted and drawdown screens.
Chase concentrationSurging Sparks: top-3 share 48% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Surging Sparks's top 3, which together hold 48% of a $1,095 set value over 252 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 77 kr ≈ $7.77 · 4 asks · 2026-10-20+56% vs US market $4.97-62% vs eBay sold median $20.50 (12 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 77 kr ≈ $7.77 on 2026-10-20, 56% above the US near-mint market of $4.97 (2026-10-24), and 62% below the eBay sold median of $20.50 (12 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.