PokémonCommon

Nincada

Mega Evolution · #16 · 2025

Blended market value

$0.13-27.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 3d ago

Price history

Latest

$0.13

Average per source

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

No population read for this card yet, so it is outside the pop-adjusted and drawdown screens.
Chase concentrationMega Evolution: top-3 share 40% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Mega Evolution's top 3, which together hold 40% of a $1,337 set value over 188 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 6 kr ≈ $0.61 · 13 asks · 2026-10-21+369% vs US market $0.13no eBay sold read yet · asks, not sales
13 Swedish asks with a median of 6 kr ≈ $0.61 on 2026-10-21, 369% above the US near-mint market of $0.13 (2026-10-26); no eBay sold median has been read for it yet. Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.