CardGameInsight
PokémonRare Rainbow

Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX

Hidden Fates · #69 · 2019

Blended market value

$42.02-11.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 7d ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-22

Latest

$42.02

Average per source

  • 103 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 7d ago

    $42.02

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    64 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago

    $93.06

    median $90.00

    $27.00–$200.00

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    4 listings · Any condition · 1mo ago

    $80.24

    SEK 787.25

    median SEK 592.00

    SEK 499.00–SEK 1,499

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 17,191 · PSA 10 price $127 · float $2,183,257-51% vs Sun & Moon curve#1 of 22 in era · slope +0.21

    17,191 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $127; that is 51% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 1 of 22, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.21, R² 0.03, the most-graded cards costing most).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-11% from $47.46 (2026-10-03)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $42.02 on 2026-10-22 against a window high of $47.46 on 2026-10-03: 11% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 16,975 → 17,191 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationHidden Fates: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.15outside the set's top 3

    Outside Hidden Fates's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $273 set value over 69 cards (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 592 kr ≈ $60.34 · 4 asks · 2026-09-22+44% vs US market $42.02-33% vs eBay sold median $90.00 (64 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    4 Swedish asks with a median of 592 kr ≈ $60.34 on 2026-09-22, 44% above the US near-mint market of $42.02 (2026-10-22), and 33% below the eBay sold median of $90.00 (64 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Hidden Fates
Era
Sun & Moon
Number
69/68
Rarity
Rare Rainbow
Artist
5ban Graphics
Released
Aug 23, 2019

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