PokémonRare Holo

Lucario

Diamond & Pearl · #6 · 2007

Blended market value

$64.570.0% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$64.57

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
99 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$64.57
Traderaliveasksnot blended
12 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$18.52
SEK 184.17
median SEK 166.00
SEK 45.00–SEK 499.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
6 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$57.00
median $55.00
$40.00–$74.99

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 7 · PSA 10 price $15,500 (thin comp) · float $108,500+130% vs Diamond & Pearl / Platinum curve#8 of 15 in era · slope +0.52
7 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $15,500 (thin: under three sales); that is 130% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 8 of 15, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.52, R² 0.16, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-1% from $65.33 (2026-08-26)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $64.57 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $65.33 on 2026-08-26: 1% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 7 → 7 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDiamond & Pearl: top-3 share 34% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Diamond & Pearl's top 3, which together hold 34% of a $1,083 set value over 130 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 166 kr ≈ $16.69 · 12 asks · 2026-10-24-74% vs US market $64.57-70% vs eBay sold median $55.00 (6 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
12 Swedish asks with a median of 166 kr ≈ $16.69 on 2026-10-24, 74% below the US near-mint market of $64.57 (2026-10-19), and 70% below the eBay sold median of $55.00 (6 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.