PokémonRare Holo

Palkia

Diamond & Pearl · #11 · 2007

Blended market value

$34.07+11.7% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$34.07

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
72 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$34.07
Traderaliveasksnot blended
7 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$11.62
SEK 115.57
median SEK 100.00
SEK 40.00–SEK 283.00
eBay soldlivethinnot blended
2 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$117.50
median $117.50
$75.00–$159.99

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9 · PSA 10 price $6,025 (thin comp) · float $54,225-21% vs Diamond & Pearl / Platinum curve#5 of 15 in era · slope +0.52
9 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $6,025 (thin: under three sales); that is 21% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 5 of 15, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.52, R² 0.16, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $34.07 (2026-10-19)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $34.07 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $34.07 on 2026-10-19: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9 → 9 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDiamond & Pearl: top-3 share 34% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Diamond & Pearl's top 3, which together hold 34% of a $1,083 set value over 130 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 100 kr ≈ $10.05 · 7 asks · 2026-10-24-71% vs US market $34.07-91% vs eBay sold median $117 (2 sales, 90 d, thin) · asks, not sales
7 Swedish asks with a median of 100 kr ≈ $10.05 on 2026-10-24, 71% below the US near-mint market of $34.07 (2026-10-19), and 91% below the eBay sold median of $117 (2 sales in 90 days, thin). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.