PokémonRare Holo

Empoleon

Diamond & Pearl · #4 · 2007

Blended market value

$24.72+6.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$24.72

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
144 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$24.72
Traderaliveasksnot blended
19 listings · Any condition · 3d ago
$10.88
SEK 108.21
median SEK 79.00
SEK 23.00–SEK 289.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
3 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$37.00
median $40.00
$25.00–$46.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 7 · PSA 10 price $53,851 (thin comp) · float $376,954+700% vs Diamond & Pearl / Platinum curve#11 of 15 in era · slope +0.52
7 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $53,851 (thin: under three sales); that is 700% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 11 of 15, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.52, R² 0.16, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $24.72 (2026-10-19)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $24.72 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $24.72 on 2026-10-19: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 7 → 7 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDiamond & Pearl: top-3 share 34% · HHI 0.06outside the set's top 3
Outside Diamond & Pearl's top 3, which together hold 34% of a $1,083 set value over 130 cards (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 79 kr ≈ $7.94 · 19 asks · 2026-10-26-68% vs US market $24.72-80% vs eBay sold median $40.00 (3 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
19 Swedish asks with a median of 79 kr ≈ $7.94 on 2026-10-26, 68% below the US near-mint market of $24.72 (2026-10-19), and 80% below the eBay sold median of $40.00 (3 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.