Grading ratio: what a PSA 8, 9 or 10 sells for against a raw copy, and what the multiple leaves out

Screen 7 answers one question per card: what does a graded copy sell for, as a multiple of a raw near-mint copy? That is the payoff side of grading. The odds side, how likely a raw copy is to come back at a given grade, is not in this data, and that is the first thing to know about the screen.

The two numbers

The raw side is TCGplayer's near-mint market price via PokemonPriceTracker, for the printing the catalog row describes. On the Wizards-era products that also sell a 1st Edition, that is the unlimited print. It is the same figure the card page leads with.

The graded side is PokemonPriceTracker's eBay sold-by-grade bucket for PSA 8, PSA 9 and PSA 10: the average of completed eBay sales of PSA-graded copies at that grade, with the number of sales behind it. It is the figure the card page and the pop-adjusted screen use. CGC, BGS and SGC sales are kept out rather than blended into PSA numbers. The eBay pass stores these buckets for every card it looks up, so the screen covers the catalog, not only the cards whose population is read.

The ratio is the graded value over the raw value. Beside it the screen prints the dollar gap, because twenty times a $1 card and twice a $1,000 card are very different amounts of money.

What counts

A grade value built on fewer than three sales is badged thin, and one the provider's own outlier check distrusts is badged as well. Both stay on the screen, greyed, and sort after the counted values unless the reader ticks the box that ranks them. The default view starts at a raw price of $10, where the multiples are large and the dollar gaps small; one filter lifts that floor. The list can be searched by name, number, set or rarity, narrowed to an era or a set, and sorted by any of the three ratios, the four prices, the name, the era or the set.

The first read

On 19 October 2026 (report generated 12:03 UTC), 2,941 cards had an observed near-mint price and at least one PSA 8, 9 or 10 bucket, out of 7,043 cards the eBay pass had looked up so far. 1,065 of them were priced at $10 or more raw. Over those 1,065, counting only buckets with three or more sales and no outlier flag:

• the median PSA 10 sold for 6.5 times the raw price (867 cards);
• the median PSA 9 for 1.6 times (863 cards);
• the median PSA 8 for 1.2 times (728 cards);
• a PSA 9 averaged less than the raw price on 121 of the 863 cards, and a PSA 8 on 261 of the 728.

The era split is wide. Median PSA 10 multiples were 37.9 for the Wizards of the Coast era (143 cards), 29.2 for EX (24), 64.4 for Diamond & Pearl and Platinum (11), 31.6 for Black & White (15) and 24.6 for XY (24). From Sun & Moon on they drop to single digits: 5.1 for Sun & Moon (227), 4.4 for Sword & Shield (196), 6.3 for Scarlet & Violet (168) and 5.3 for Mega Evolution (59). The older eras' figures carry the printing caveat below.

From Sun & Moon on, the multiple also falls as the raw price rises. The median PSA 10 multiple was 6.9 for cards at $10 to $20 raw (246 cards), 4.9 at $20 to $50 (200), 4.0 at $50 to $100 (92) and 3.0 at $100 to $500 (102). The PSA 9 median went from 1.77 to 0.98 across the same bands.

Four cards

Umbreon VMAX #215Evolving Skiesopen →

Charizard-GX #SV49Hidden Fates: Shiny Vaultopen →

Articuno #161Journey Togetheropen →

Umbreon VMAX #215, Evolving Skies: $2,327 raw near mint. PSA 8 averaged $1,697 over 32 sales (×0.7), PSA 9 $1,995 over 230 (×0.9), PSA 10 $4,009 over 811 (×1.7). Charizard-GX #SV49, Hidden Fates' Shiny Vault: $768.10 raw. PSA 9 $578.75 over 159 sales (×0.8), PSA 10 $1,253 over 196 (×1.6). Articuno #161, Journey Together: $15.19 raw. PSA 9 $37.30 over 818 sales (×2.5), PSA 10 $238.88 over 605 (×16).

Lapras #10Fossilopen →

Lapras #10, Fossil: $38.07 raw near mint for the unlimited print. PSA 8 $125.28 over 337 sales (×3.3), PSA 9 $356.91 over 210 (×9.4), PSA 10 $10,031 over 46 (×264). Fossil had a 1st Edition run, and the graded buckets do not separate printings, so how much of that PSA 10 average is 1st Edition copies cannot be read from the data. The row carries a chip that says so.

What the multiple leaves out

• The odds. A multiple is what a grade pays if it comes back. Sixteen times on a card that rarely grades 10 is a different proposition from five times on one that often does. Population counts, where a card's are read, count what was submitted and graded, not every copy, and say nothing about grades below 9.
• Fees. Grading, shipping and insurance both ways, the weeks a card is away and selling fees are not subtracted. Fee schedules change and the service level is the submitter's, so the screen prints the gross multiple and the dollar gap and leaves the sum to the reader.
• Venue. The raw figure is TCGplayer's market price and the graded figures are eBay completed sales. A multiple under one partly measures the gap between two marketplaces, not only the grade.
• Printing. eBay's graded buckets have no printing dimension. On the seven seeded sets with a 1st Edition run the graded side mixes both prints while the raw side is unlimited, so the multiple reads high; the same mixing can apply to any product that lists more than one printing, such as a reverse holofoil next to the regular card.
• Selection. The graded copies that sell on eBay are the ones somebody chose to submit and then chose to sell.

The screen is a list of multiples with their sample sizes and dates. It does not say which card to send.