PokémonRare Secret

Ultra Ball

Brilliant Stars · #186 · 2022

Blended market value

$14.26+2.4% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$14.26

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
201 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$14.26
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$18.38
SEK 183.00
median SEK 183.00
SEK 183.00–SEK 183.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
4 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 27d ago
$17.85
median $17.01
$12.38–$25.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

No population read for this card yet, so it is outside the pop-adjusted and drawdown screens.
Chase concentrationBrilliant Stars: top-3 share 52% · HHI 0.15outside the set's top 3
Outside Brilliant Stars's top 3, which together hold 52% of a $740 set value over 186 cards (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 183 kr ≈ $18.38 · 1 ask · 2026-10-27 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+29% vs US market $14.26+8% vs eBay sold median $17.00 (4 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 183 kr ≈ $18.38 on 2026-10-27, 29% above the US near-mint market of $14.26 (2026-10-27), and 8% above the eBay sold median of $17.00 (4 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.