CardGameInsight
PokémonPromo

Dragonite-GX

SM Black Star Promos · #SM156 · 2017

Blended market value

$51.86modelled+4.7% 30d

Modelled headline · 3 estimator sources · 1 observed row shown, not blended · updated 1d ago

Price history

2026-10-172026-10-28

Latest

$51.86

Average per source

  • TCGplayermodelled

    79 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $52.77

    median $51.18

    $46.96–$60.89

  • PriceChartingmodelled

    12 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $53.07

    median $51.48

    $49.36–$58.28

  • eBaymodelled

    48 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $49.19

    median $47.72

    $38.86–$63.66

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    3 listings · Any condition · 1d ago

    $78.70

    SEK 782.00

    median SEK 756.00

    SEK 690.00–SEK 900.00

The headline is the built-in estimator's number: no live marketplace read carries weight for this condition yet. Rows marked modelled are that estimator, not a marketplace read; the first live read replaces them in the headline. Observed rows marked not blended are regional asks or mixed-condition sales, shown but never averaged into the US near-mint figure.

  • No population read for this card yet, so it is outside the pop-adjusted and drawdown screens.
  • Chase concentrationSM Black Star Promos: top-3 share 43% · HHI 0.11outside the set's top 3

    Outside SM Black Star Promos's top 3, which together hold 43% of a $2,009 set value over 251 cards (HHI 0.11, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set). The set is not ranked yet: 0 of 251 cards have an observed price.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
SM Black Star Promos
Era
Sun & Moon
Number
SM156/248
Rarity
Promo
Artist
5ban Graphics
Released
Feb 3, 2017

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